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Aussie unmoved by narrower China trade surplus

Both imports and exports higher than estimate Imports rose 27.3% y/y in US dollar terms, the fastest pace of growth since January, and beat economists’ forecasts of +16.2% by a large margin. Exports also topped estimates, rising 12.2% y/y, defying speculation that the imposition of the first US tariffs on Chinese imports would have an […]

Dollar steady as China trade data looms

The US dollar had a bit of a rollercoaster ride yesterday as weakness in the Asian session was reversed in the US session and the greenback finished almost where it started the day. PBOC’s “verbal intervention” to stabilize the yuan helped cap the dollar’s strength. PBOC warns don’t follow the herd In a meeting with […]

Aussie moves higher as RBA holds rates at record low

AUD/USD breaks above 0.7400 The RBA held rates steady for the 21st time, a move that had been unanimously expected, keeping them at record lows as it targets sustainable growth and achieving the inflation target over time. The Bank’s growth forecast for the economy remains unchanged, seeing GDP growth averaging slightly more than 3% in […]

AUD/USD edges higher as retail sales beat estimate

Aussie edges higher as retail sales beat estimate AUD/USD is trading marginally up on the day after Australia’s retail sales came in higher than expected in June. Sales rose 0.4% m/m, matching the expansion seen in May and higher than the +0.3% economists had predicted. With June data now available, the summary for the second […]

AUD/USD slides despite jump in trade surplus

Reduced imports the major factor Today’s release of Australia’s trade data for June saw the trade surplus widening dramatically to A$1.87 billion from a revised A$725 million the previous month. That is the largest surplus in more than a year. A hefty decrease in imports was the reason for the jump, while exports growth slowed […]

Aussie falters as CPI misses estimate

But inflation climbs into RBA’s target range Despite headline CPI coming in below economists’ forecasts, it crawled into the RBA’s 2-3% target range for the first time in over a year. Headline CPI rose 2.1% y/y in Q2, up from 1.9% in Q1 but just below estimates of a 2.2% increase. Trimmed mean CPI, the […]

Live FX Market Analysis – 24 July 2018

In this week’s FX webinar, Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam discusses the latest events that are moving financial markets – Trump attacks the Fed, Brexit plans widely criticized etc – and previews the week ahead. Craig also gives his live analysis on EURUSD (9:22), GBPUSD (11:48), EURGBP (18:45), AUDUSD (19:34), USDCAD (21:04), GBPCAD (22:14), NZDUSD […]

Aussie soars on stellar jobs data

Jobs added in June beat estimates by a mile The Australian economy added a massive 50.9k jobs in June, well above economists’ forecasts of a 17.0k increase and the biggest monthly gain since November. Adding to the positive headline, the vast majority of the jobs were in the full-time category at 41.2K, while just 9.7k […]

China GDP growth slows in Q2

China Q2 GDP growth as expected, though lower than Q1 In this morning’s China data dump, Q2 GDP growth came in as expected but industrial production disappointed. The Chinese economy grew 6.7% y/y in Q2, a slower pace than in Q1 but was in line with economists’ forecasts. Industrial production for May on the other […]

Equities shrug off trade tariff tensions

Is the negotiating table being dusted off? Was it a storm in teacup? Equity markets across Asia shrugged off yesterday’s post-tariff announcement weakness and are trading in the black through the Asian session. Nikkei225 rose 0.95%, Australian stocks rose 0.68% and even China shares managed gains of 2.30%, recouping all of yesterday’s losses. What has […]