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Another Turkish Lira flash crash

Another Turkish Lira flash crash   A busy start to the session dealing with yet another mini TRY flash crash as the bad Lira news continues to compound. Otherwise, global Forex and fixed income markets remain in neutral  overnight and predictably focused on the upcoming FOMC minutes The Turkish Lira meltdown. As far as I can […]

US Futures Higher on Easing Trade War Fears

Reduced Chinese Tariffs Further List Sentiment in Markets US futures are pointing to another higher open on Tuesday, building on Monday’s strong gains and benefiting from an apparent easing in trade tensions between the world’s two largest economies. The postponement of new tariffs by both the US and China and the revelation that the latter […]

A test of the breakouts

A test of the breakouts  This week should be all about contesting and consolidating last week’s significant breakouts in 10 year UST, EURUSD, USDJPY and Oil Prices. And despite weekend inspired short-covering in US fixed income, we’ve seen a weekly close in US 10y above 3.05 %. And with the Baker Hughes rig count holding […]

Dollar Consolidates ahead of Today’s Event Risk

Thursday May 17: Five things the markets are talking about Italian political uncertainty continues to dominate European domestic asset prices. Since yesterday, Italian bond yields have ballooned on reports of a draft government program, penned by the proposed populist coalition, the introduction of procedures within the eurozone to allow countries to quit the euro. The […]

Live FX Analysis – 15 May 2018 (Video)

It’s been an interesting month in financial markets in which the dollar has rediscovered its mojo, geopolitical risk has remained heightened, US corporates have shown their strength and central banks around the world have become less bullish. Ahead of another busy data week, Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam gives his views on the markets at […]

US Futures Pare Gains Ahead of Retail Sales Data

US Equities Looking Less Vulnerable After Recent Breakouts US equity markets have been on a good run of late but are poised to open slightly lower on Tuesday, paring the steady gains achieved over the last couple of weeks. This comes after the Dow and S&P 500 both surpassed the previous peak which came almost […]

GBP Slips as BoE Delays Hike and Lowers Forecasts

The Bank of England monetary policy announcement and press conference went broadly as expected today, with the central bank holding off on raising rates while maintaining that they will rise gradually over the forecast period. The central bank had previously strongly hinted that base rate would rise today – taking it above 0.5% for the […]

BoE – Will They or Won’t They?

Is a Rate Hold Nailed On Or Are Markets Positioned For a Shock? The Bank of England meets on Thursday and, despite spending months preparing markets for a rate hike, the central bank is widely expected to leave them on hold at 0.5%. While markets don’t always get fully on board with central bank efforts […]

BoE Strongly Expected to Leave Rates on Hold

The Bank of England’s (BOE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets Thursday and is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, marking a sharp turnaround from early projections just a few weeks ago.A month ago, short-term interest rates had been pricing in another 25 basis point rate hike with near certainty (90 percent odds). But Governor Mark […]

OANDA Market Insights With Jazz FM

OANDA Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam and Jazz FM Business Breakfast presenter Jonny Hart look back at the week’s business and market news. This week: US jobs disappoint, UK rates set to stay put and MPs question Sainsbury’s Asda merger. Dollar Keeps Going Strong as Growth Concerns Rise in Europe U.S. Adds 164,000 Jobs in April; […]