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Tag: European Central Bank (ECB)

A Cautious FOMC?? : dovish tail risks abound

US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell is expected to reaffirm his cautious approach to monetary policy this week, potentially paving the way for an extended rally in the Australian dollar. The Aussie has battled back from below US71¢ less than two weeks ago and is now within reach of US73¢, helped by a muted market […]

Bring on the FOMC !

FOMC  The FOMC meeting next week has a hike fully priced in so the focus will be on the dot plots and the follow-up presser which has dollar bulls questioning their near-term positions. The meeting will be overly scrutinised to see if there are any changes in the projections, with new Vice-chair Clarida voting for […]

Central Banks up the ante to normalize interest rates

Friday September 21: Five things the markets are talking about Aside from trade, tariff and retaliation, central banks are upping the ante to “normalize” interest rates. This week, Norway’s Norges Bank has joined the BoE, and the central banks of the Czech Republic and Romania in withdrawing some of its stimulus, while Sweden’s Riksbank has […]

ASEAN currencies edge higher

Sept 21 (Reuters) – Asian currencies strengthened for the third consecutive day on Friday, supported by a weaker dollar and shifting views over how much damage the Sino-U.S. trade war will inflict on global demand and export-reliant regional economies. The dollar index has fallen more than 1 per cent this week. Analysts said investment flows […]

US-China trade war, yesterday’s news.?

US-China trade war, yesterday’s news.? The US stock markets catapulted to a new record high on Thursday as investors continued to sidestep fears over the escalating global trade war and instead focused on a boomy American economy. And at least for today anyway, US-China trade war was yesterday’s news. Make no mistake the US economy […]

U.S safe-haven appeal diminishes

Thursday September 20: Five things the markets are talking about It’s not been easy, two and two do not add up when trading these Twitter directional asset classes. Fundamentals have been temporary ignored as the ‘lemming’ trades takes a grip. Fading market fears over a Sino-U.S trade row has the U.S dollar trading within striking […]

Where to hide? That’s the next million-dollar question

Tuesday September 18: Five things the markets are talking about It was coming, the market new it was coming, just when, and how much, were the unknown variables. President Trump has imposed an additional +10% tariffs on about +$200B worth of imports from China, rising to +25% by the turn of the New Year. Trump […]

Seeing the forest for the trees

Seeing the forest for the trees With trade war dominating the landscape, even more so after this morning’s US tariff headline, it’s easy to focus on markets from a one-dimensional perspective. But cross-asset trading is multidimensional and observing the more granular details can offer much-needed clarity in these difficult times. US Markets Certainly, Trade war […]

No tariffs, now tariffs, what gives?

Monday September 17: Five things the markets are talking about The possibility of a new round on tariffs on Chinese goods is not helping equity markets this Monday morning. The ‘big’ dollar is holding onto Friday’s gains as investors try and acclimatize themselves to the ever-fluid trade situation that President Trump seems to be creating […]

Battered and bruised

Battered and bruised It was a tough week for the markets leaving many participants battered and bruised, but the great thing about this industry, is we get to do it all over again next week. US 10y yields went on to test 3.0% Friday after a string of constructive  US data, and Fed speaks supported […]