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Tag: USD/CAD Technical Analysis

A complex matrix of confusion.

A complex matrix of confusion. Establishing views on cross assets classes on Monday morning is becoming increasingly difficult. The tricky environment I am looking at today Emerging market issues are still lingering and incredibly shaky outlook, the S&P remains robust stable and seriously sturdy, US yields continue to march higher, and US economy continues to […]

FOMC : Pardon the interruption

FOMC: Pardon the interruption The FOMC interlude was even less of an event than expected but that belies some of the headline risk creeping back into play, as the market has been waiting for a Whitehouse press release on China tariffs which has left investors to speculate if this will confirm the overnight chatter the […]

Trade war breakthrough?

Trade war breakthrough? US markets are off to a rousing start in the wake of a report that US and China are said to restart talks to avert the escalating tit for tat trade war but renewed selling in large-cap tech companies has tempered gains. But indeed any tempering of this confrontational issue ahead of […]

Chasing One’s Tail

Chasing one’s tail There’s a lot less drama to start the week but still plenty of possible noisemakers in play to keep things interesting. Global trade war tensions are on the rise again so on the heels of the latest US administrations salvo of metal import tariffs, the market’s focus will be directed at trade […]

Dangerous Brinkmanship

Dangerous Brinkmanship Another in the expanding history list of topsy-turvy Thursdays’ when it comes to risk as the President Gave, and the President Hath Taken Away only to leave the door open again when it comes to North Korea discussions. The increasing headline chatter around the North Korea summit finally culminated with President Trump cancelling […]

Commodity currencies are beaming

  Currency Markets The US dollar has given up some of its gains overnight as investors keenness for Greenbacks has temporarily abated. The shifting dynamics around trade and tariffs does give pause for thought as US dollar bulls are consolidating gains at a very tricky and treacherous junction for both the USD and US bond yields. After […]

The trend is your friend.

The trend is your friend. Currency Markets There was an intense focus on Italy Wednesday thanks to speculation that its new coalition government would request that the ECB write-off the bank’s QE-acquired debt of EUR250bn. Panic ensued with the EURUSD plunging to 1.1760 before recovering after the report was denied. But the Italian political noise […]

Markets Caught Between Opposing Forces

Markets Caught Between Opposing Forces Equity Markets US equities finished mostly higher but of their tops as energy shares started to take profits following a Presidential Tweet promising to announce his decision on the Iranian nuclear deal Tuesday at 14:00 EST. WTI retreated from 3-year highs, and equities appear to have echoed that weakness. Despite […]

Currrency markets yield to dollar demand

G-10 and EM currencies yield to dollar demand The recent rise in US yields is responsible for crystallising USD strength, and this appears to have been accentuated by comparatively strong data flow in the US. But next week’s  US Trade Roadshow to China, which includes the President’s ” champions of trade” Steven Mnuchin, Robert Lighthizer […]

Confusion reigns

Confusion reigns In a market starved for significant news, the FOMC minutes provided just enough talking points to keep the dollar bid as US bond yields nudged towards crucial resistance levels.However, the Feds assortment of views on wage growth suggests the FOMC remains pliable during the transition phase from Yellen to Powell. In other words, […]